How Many Possible Fantasy Football Schedules Are There?
For a 12 team league that starts playoffs in week 15 there are around (172 Septendecillion) possible regular season schedules.
Assumptions
- There is no restriction on how many times two teams can play
- For example, playing the same team every week can in a valid schedule
- You cannot play against your own team
- Leagues have a positive, even number of teams
Equation
- Number of possible schedules =
- Number of teams in the league =
- Number of weeks in regular season =
The double explamation mark is double factorial.
Calculating One Week
To show how this is calculated, let's start by looking at Week 1, , in a 6 team league, .
Let's say that Team 1, , plays Team 2, . Then there are 3 different ways for the rest of the matchups to go
Matchups |
---|
(1v2) (3v4) (5v6) |
(1v2) (3v5) (4v6) |
(1v2) (3v6) (4v5) |
What if played against ? Then there are 3 more potential schedules for
Matchups |
---|
(1v3) (2v4) (5v6) |
(1v3) (2v5) (4v6) |
(1v3) (2v6) (4v5) |
Continuing with this process, we get a total of 15 possible schedules for . This works regardless of which team is chosen to be .
There were 5 groups of 3, or . For an 8 team league, a similar pattern follows: possible schedules for a week. If we also multiply by , for example , this pattern is a double factorial, which is represented a double exclamation mark .
Therefore, the number of possible schedules in one week is
For an 8 team league, .
10 team league:
12 team league:
Calculating Multiple Weeks
To get the number of schedules for a season, let's start by looking at the first two weeks of the season.
We already determined that the number of possible schedules in one week is
There are 15 possible weekly schedules for a 6 team league. There are 15 different Week 1s and each of them could have 15 different Week 2s. So the total number of possible schedules for a 2 week regular season in a 6 team league is , or .
As we add more weeks to the schedule, we keep multiplying by 15, giving us 15 ^ Number of weeks in the regular season, or , or more generically .